Thoughts

Moibus strip theory of politics

It’s not a horseshoe, it’s a Möbius strip…

The horseshoe theory of politics does not go nearly far enough. I find a Möbius strip is a far superior analogy. It shows just how by going far enough in any direction, we go around the bend (and if we go far enough after that, we might just end up back where we started). It … Continue reading It’s not a horseshoe, it’s a Möbius strip…

reading right now

2020 A Year in Books

What I read in 2020, the comprehensive list. How to read this list: *  = Recommend** = Really recommendNC = No comment (or, really, do not bother)RR = Re-readF = FictionNF = Non-fiction If you trust my reading recommendations, I suggest you purchase a copy of whatever catches your eye at your favourite local second hand book … Continue reading 2020 A Year in Books

economics in one lesson

Economics in One Lesson

“The art of economics consists in looking not merely at the immediate but at the longer effects of policy; it consists in tracing the consequences of that policy not merely for one group but for all groups” The premise of Henry Hazlitt's Economics in One Lesson is simple: Policy should be honest about the losers, … Continue reading Economics in One Lesson

ideas lying around

Ideas Lying Around (and Sprouting)

At the moment, a crop of ideas that have been lying around for some time are sprouting. Make no mistake, these ideas time has come and they will be used to shape the next generation of economic and social policy. They will affect every life and every nation. Specifically, 2020 has seen the following ideas … Continue reading Ideas Lying Around (and Sprouting)

the rise of the virtuocracy

The Rise of Virtuocracy

Virtuocracy : A society which is ruled by the most virtuous. Aristocracy, where one's station in life is tied to the accident of birth, is plainly unfair. Theocracy, where one's station in life is tied to one's proximity to the nexus of clerical power is likewise unjust. Meritocracy, where one's station in life is tied … Continue reading The Rise of Virtuocracy

Narrative Economics

Narrative Economics

Narrative Economics by Robert J Shiller has been on my to-read list for a while (I was waiting for the paperback edition to launch in South Africa. The book looks at the thesis that narrative a way of presenting or understanding a situation or series of events that reflects and promotes a particular point of … Continue reading Narrative Economics

5g geopolitics

5G Geopolitics (we’re way past Go!)

Geopolitics used to be a board game. Leaders defended and extended their physical territory in the terrestrial plane. Borders were defined by geography. Trade partners and military partnerships tended to fall in the same lines. We knew who our enemies and allies were, and where to find them. But things are no longer so simple. … Continue reading 5G Geopolitics (we’re way past Go!)

Paperclip minimiser dystopia

Paperclip minimiser dystopia

In the classic paperclip maximiser thought experiment; an AI is tasked with making paperclips. Innocent enough. However, the AI is also not told when to stop. Driven by the singular goal to make as many paperclips as possible, the AI eventually destroys not only our planet, and our selves, but the entire universe, as it … Continue reading Paperclip minimiser dystopia

Open Basic Income

From UBI to OBI – Open Basic Income

I think we need a new vocabulary to distinguish between Universal Basic Income - as form of compulsory (for the tax payer) state-mandated welfare system and - and self-sustaining incentive-driven free-market, voluntary, private sector supported income network systems. I propose OBI: Open Basic Income for these bottom up systems, Open as in Open to all … Continue reading From UBI to OBI – Open Basic Income